I graduated in economics 45 years ago. In those days we were taught that humans were rational and made rational decisions based ultimately on utility, the exchange value of what they received for what they delivered. Forty-five years has taught us a thing or two about psychology and how the mind works. We now know that humans are far from rational and the Theory of Utility has been replaced by the Theory of Propensity. We often exchange more value for less value irrationally. In fact we act irrationally about many decisions, so much so that the vast majority of our decisions are knee jerk decisions caused by racing neural impulses following well worn tracks in our brain. Today, one day after the inauguration of Donald Trump, I can’t help wonder, “How can so many believe they know the future having done so poorly predicting it in the past?”
Years ago after having taught Karate for over 15 years, coached soccer and basketball for over 10, hired and fired in business for 20, I came to some realizations about judging people and their performance, “The impossible will happen. Some you never expect will rise. Some you believe are indomitable will sink.” The key to good coaching is to be patient, train to incentivize dedication, respectful communication, discipline, and objectivity. Above all things you do as a coach you give everyone an equal opportunity to shine and be a victor over the obstacles to their success.
We live in a country dominated by a media where the heroes and villains are decided by the clothes they wear, by the tribe they belong to, by the cadence of their speech, by the money in their pocket, by what they have said over the history of their lives. Our media immortalizes the down trodden and makes villains of the successful. The employees in the media corporations around the world have become the prognosticators of value. They tell us who is good and who is bad without objectively balancing the equation. In their delusional attempts to demonstrate objectivity they fail the acid test of reproducibility. Subjective claims of moral values often times disregard the long term cause and effect that may result. In our wild claims of human atrocity in Iraq America dismantled their physical and political infrastructure causing the murder of millions and creating a political vacuum that may not right itself for a thousand years.
It is a sad day when you don’t let the person who has done everything they can, sacrificing time, money and respect to prove themselves a champion of the people. Perhaps we are delusional believing the presidency is an wonderful office to hold with prestige and pomp. In fact, it is the hardest job on earth, and any champion who rises to wield the sword of prosperity should be given a chance to wield it for the hope and future of our nation. They may rise, they may sink. Our history is replete with both. Since none of us know the future, or can predict it based on words, skin color, or age, we must let our victors rise on the field of value, gauging not by our dislike of their personality but by the temper of their spirit and value delivered over time. We do not enter this fight afraid. We enter this fight aware. If we predict our teammates failure, they surely will. Let us all place the might of our collective desire for a better America and better world behind Trump’s back and push predicting victory.